Okay, I'll keep it brief. Here's a few things you should keep in mind on deadline day.
- This year's draft lacks star talent up top (no Crosby, Malkin, Ovechkin). Fact is, the top pick in this year's draft (Kane, Esposito, Van Riemsdyk, whoever) would likely be no higher than fourth or fifth in last year's draft.
- This year's draft is not deep, according to scouts in the field. What you get at the end of the first round is another year's second-round talent.
- The difference is marginal between a second-round pick and a third-rounder. The chances of a player having an impact is about 15 percent.
- There's a far greater difference between a top 20 pick and one between Nos. 21 and 40.
- Next year's first-rounder is far more valuable than this year's. A far better draft on the high end (Stamkos, Del Zotto, Pietrangelo, etc) and scouts say it's like the 2003 for depth (didn't realize just how many have already made the show and arguably the best one goes in the second round).